NFL Thanksgiving odds, picks, best bets

A late November Thanksgiving evening game in Lambeau will have a wonderful aura.

In a battle between two of the NFL’s better offenses, the Dolphins enter Thanksgiving at 5-6 after looking a shell of their explosive personality without quarterback Tua Tagovailoa.

Still, Miami is in the hunt for a playoff spot and needs to win almost every game.

The Dolphins travel to the frozen tundra as three-point underdogs for this prime-time matchup.

Dolphins vs Packers odds

Dolphins vs Packers prediction

Did we say it’s going to be cold?

According to BetMGM, Tagovailoa is 1-3 straight up and 0-4 against the spread when temperatures dip below 40 degrees.

The Dolphins have understandably taken some money here given their strong play in recent weeks, having beaten the Patriots 34-15 in their last game.

It would be fine to take the Dolphins if the Packers’ run defense had holes, but they are a solid running unit that ranks ninth-best in yards per carry allowed (4.2 YPC).

Green Bay’s pass defense is also one of the better units, ranking 11th in pass defense according to defense-adjusted value above average (DVOA).

Meanwhile, Miami can’t stop the run and ranks 26th in DVOA.

Betting on the NFL?

Packers coach Matt LaFleur is an artist when it comes to designing running plays, and Josh Jacobs is such a slugger that it’s hard to imagine Mike McDaniel having this team ready to steal one on the road in enemy territory .

PICK: Packers -3 (-110, ESPN BET) | Josh Jacobs 100+ Rushing Yards (+290, Bet365) – Small spread at 150+ yards at 15/1 at Bet365

Why you should trust New York Post Betting

Erich Richter is a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu blue belt, but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During football season, he made huge profits in the player prop market during his final two seasons at The Post. Although he is constantly betting on distance, his return on investment since 2022 is 30.15 percent.