NFL 2024 Week 13 Betting: Chiefs-Raiders Odds, Picks, Lines

With Thanksgiving over, Black Friday brings another showdown of NFL action with the Kansas City Chiefs (10-1, 5-6 ATS) and their AFC West rival, the Las Vegas Raiders (2-9, 4-7 ATS ) from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.

Last year, the Raiders pulled off an upset victory over the reigning Super Bowl champions on Christmas Day. This year, the Chiefs enter Friday’s holiday game as 12.5-point favorites with a total of 42.5 points.

In the last game between the Chiefs and Raiders on October 27, Kansas City narrowly escaped Las Vegas and the Raiders erased an 8.5-point lead in a 27-20 loss. Since then, the Chiefs have only lost one game, a 30-27 loss to the Buffalo Bills in Week 11.

Here’s everything you need to know to bet on the Chiefs-Raiders and Anita Marks best bets for the game.

Odds are current as of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET

Game lines

Spread: Chieftains (-12.5)
Money line: Chiefs (-900), Raiders (+550)
Over/under: 42.5 points (above -110/below -110)

Distribution in the first half: Chiefs -7.5 (Even), Raiders +7.5 (-120)
First half moneyline: Chiefs (-450), Raiders (+320)
Chiefs total points: 27.5 (above -105/below -125)
Raiders total points: 13.5 (above -125/below -105)

The props

Passing by

Patrick Mahomes total passing yards: 249.5 (above -135/below +105)
Mahomes’ total pass TDs: 1.5 (above -125/below -105)
Aidan O’Connell Total Passing Yards: 249.5 (above +115/below -145)
O’Connell’s total passing touchdowns: 1.5 (above -120/below -110)

Reception

Brock Bowers total receiving yards: 59.5 (above -130/below even)
Jakobi Meyer’s total receiving yards: 49.5 (above -135/below +105)
Travis Kelce total receiving yards: 59.5 (above +110/below -140)
Xavier Worthy receiving total yards: 34.5 (above -130/below even)
DeAndre Hopkins total receiving yards: 39.5 (above even/below -130)
Tre Tucker’s total receiving yards: 29.5 (above -130/below even)
Noah Gray receiving total yards: 19.5 (above -120/below -110)

Anita Marks’ selection

Raiders +12.5 vs. Chiefs

KC is 0-4 ATS this season and is the favorite to score a touchdown or more. They win but don’t cover and almost lost to the Carolina Panthers last week. All of their wins have come by very close margins, and Kansas City’s 14th-ranked offense hasn’t lit up the scoreboard. This week the Chiefs face a Raiders team that would love to play spoiler on Black Friday. Aidan O’Connell is expected to start, and the Raiders are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games, making them a double-digit underdog.

Travis Kelce any time TD (+115)

With 12, 16 and 10 goals in his last three home games, Kelce is starting to get more action lately. The Raiders have allowed five touchdown passes to tight ends in the last three games.

Betting trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

• The Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last five games, making them the longest ATS losing streak in the Andy Reid era. Their last extended ATS losing streak was 2008-09 (6 straight).

• The Chiefs are 25-40 ATS as at least 7-point favorites under Andy Reid, including 19-29 ATS with Patrick Mahomes.

• The Chiefs are 0-6 ATS as double-digit road favorites under Andy Reid (0-9 ATS since 1971).

• The Chiefs have the worst ATS record (4-7) of any team that has won 10 of their first 11 games in the Super Bowl era (62 teams).

• Aidan O’Connell has a career ATS of 10-2, the best mark of any quarterback in the Super Bowl era with at least 10 starts. O’Connell appears to be the fifth player in the Super Bowl era to make his first six career starts, joining Doug Williams (8), Dan Orlovsky (7), Patrick Mahomes (6) and Vince Ferragamo (6).

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