Inside Dolphins QBs poor record

November 28, 2024

The Miami Dolphins are looking to advance in the late-season playoff push in 2024 entering their Thanksgiving matchup against the Green Bay Packers, who have won three straight games.

Miami is now just a game and a half behind the No. 7 seed in the AFC Wild Card standings and may be able to sneak in if the Dolphins can keep winning.

To do that, the Dolphins will have to stay hot despite playing a few games in cold weather. This is something the team has struggled with throughout its history, especially with Tua Tagovailoa as the team’s starting quarterback.

Tagovailoa has yet to win an NFL game where the starting temperature was below 45 degrees. His performance in those contests left so much to be desired that he addressed it before his Week 13 game against the Packers.

“I look forward to shattering narratives,” Tagovailoa told reporters, citing his unimpressive cold-weather stats. “Let’s go. Let’s go.”

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Here’s what to know about Tagovailoa’s career stats in cold weather games as he prepares for another game at Lambeau Field on Thanksgiving.

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Cold weather statistics in Tua Tagovailoa

According to Pro Football Reference, Tagovailoa has played in seven games with a temperature of 45 degrees or less.

Tagovailoa has a record of 0-7 in those contests. His other stats aren’t much better, as seen below.

Completion Rate: 135 of 243 (55.6%)
Farms passing by: 1,687
Passing TDs:8
INTs: 10
yards/attempt: 6.9
Passerby rating: 71.13

Tagovailoa’s average of 241 yards per game in these cold-weather contests is respectable, but he has struggled to consistently lead his team to points. The Dolphins are averaging 16.4 points per game while allowing 32.4 points per game in these cold weather games.

Tagovailoa has also recorded more touchdown passes than interceptions in only two of his seven appearances in temperatures below 45 degrees.

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Tua Tagovailoa stats in all other games

Perhaps the most shocking part of Tagovailoa’s cold-weather loss is his performance in all other games.

Tagovailoa has played in 54 career games (52 starts) in which the temperature did not drop below 45 degrees. In those contests, he has a 36-16 record and a passer rating that is 30 points above his cold-weather rating.

Below are Tagovailoa’s full stats from these competitions:

Completion Rate: 1,151 of 1,666 (69.1%)
Farms passing by: 12,911
Passing TDs: 87
INTs:32
yards/attempt: 7.7
Passerby rating: 101.35

For those wondering, Tagovailoa is averaging 239.1 passing yards per game in this contest, just 1.9 yards less than his average in cold weather games. He does this with significantly better scoring statistics, so it’s abundantly clear that Tagovailoa prefers warmer conditions.

In many ways, Tagovailoa is an ideal fit as Miami’s quarterback. But to achieve the team’s goal of contending for the Super Bowl, the Dolphins will need to push it to a higher level as temperatures drop.

Tagovailoa will have a chance to prove himself in that regard on Thanksgiving.

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Packers vs. Dolphins Thanksgiving Weather Forecast

According to Weather.com, it will be cold during the Packers vs. Dolphins Thanksgiving game.

Below are the full details of Thursday’s forecast for Green Bay:

High temperature: 32 degrees
Low temperature: 19 degrees
Probability of precipitation: 3%
wind: 10-15 miles per hour

The Dolphins have only won one game in the last 32 years when the temperature fell below 23 degrees. This gives Miami fans hope that the temperature can remain at the upper end of the specified range until the end of the contest.

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